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Iran First Half 2018: Production gears up 7.8% despite cloudy horizon

The Saipa Tiba/Saina is the most produced nameplate in Iran (Tiba pictured).

* See the Top 15 local brands, Top 10 cars, pickups, imported brands and models by clicking on the title *

Consult 50 years of Iran Historical Data here

Thanks to our partnership with  we can share with you exclusive detail on the Iranian new car market with updates on both local production and imports over the First Half of 2018. In fact, the period accounted for is the last three months of the Persian year 1396 and the first three of the Persian year 1397, roughly equivalent to the Western first semester. Despite a very clouded horizon with the prospect of international sanctions meaning a lot of carmakers are already in the process of withdrawing from the Iranian market, local production is actually up over the period at +7.8% to 750.962 units. Even more surprising, this is in fact an acceleration over the +7% of Q1 2018, with April production up  17.9% to 79.590, May production up a smashing 40.3% to 144.630 but June production down 20.9% to 105.218. All-in-all, Q2 2018 Iranian production is up 8.5% to 329.438 units. An estimated 95% to 98% of the local production is sold in Iran, meaning the production rankings give a very close picture of what the best-sellers in the country are. On the other hand, imports tumble down 59.2% to just 19.496.

Launched 31 years ago in 1987, the Peugeot 405 is still in production in Iran.

Atop the locally-produced brands ranking, Saipa cements its newfound leadership thanks to production volumes up 13% to just under 230.000 units and 30.6% share vs. 29.1% over the same period a year ago, now sporting a 15.000-strong advantage over #2 Peugeot (+0.2%) which sees its share thaw from 30.8% to 28.7%. Iran Khodro (+6%) roughly follows the market resulting in a stable share at 10.7% but Renault (-7%) drops from 9.9% to 8.5%. Chery (+6%) remains the ost popular Chinese carmaker producing locally in Iran, accounting for 4.6% of the H1 2018 total production of the country.  Brilliance (+58%), Dongfeng (+13%), JAC (-42%), Haima (+147%), Changan (+76%) and FAW (+347%) also manage to insert themselves inside the Top 15. All-in-all, a total of 19 Chinese brands are produced in Iran out of 30 active brands, Chinese manufacturers accounting for 15.5% of the Iranian light vehicle production so far this year vs. 14.4% over H1 2017 thanks to a production volume soaring 15.7% year-on-year to 116.458. The latest newcomers in the local aisle are Huanghai and Coupa (Zotye).

The Brilliance H330 remains the most produced Chinese vehicle in Iran.

Over in the locally produced models ranking, the Saipa Tiba/Saina remains in the lead thanks to production surging 68% year-on-year to over 110.000 units, eclipsing the Saipa Pride (a 1986 Kia Pride) by over 3.000 units. The Peugeot 206 (-0.1%), 405 (-6%), Pars (-1%), Iran Khodro Samand (-12%) and Renault Tondar 90 aka Dacia Logan I (-11%) follow, replicating the Q1 2018 order. The Iran Khodro Dena (+83%) and Brilliance H330 (+84%) post the largest gains in the Top 10 whereas the Renault Sandero (-4%) skids down. Just outside the Top 10, the Haima S7 (+147%), Chery Tiggo 3X (+138%), Kia Cerato (+35%) and Dongfeng Aeolus S30 (+21%) all vastly outperform the market. The Changan CS35, Brilliance H230, JAC S3 and Chery Fulwin 2 make it 9 Chinese nameplates in the Top 20, the Peugeot 2008 is down one spot on Q1 to #22 and the Hyundai Accent is up 4 to #23. The Zamyad Z24 (+7%) remains the #1 pickup above the Bahman Cara (+60%), Saipa 151 (-30%) and Iran Khodro Arisun (-22%) while the Renault Tondar pickup (+97%) rounds out the Top 5.

The Zotye T600 Coupe is now assembled in Iran under the name Coupa T210.

As far as imports are concerned, in a very challenging context Hyundai keeps the brands lead with almost 5.200 sales, distancing Toyota up three spots on Q1 to #2, Renault down one to #3, Kia up two to #4 and Volkswagen down one to #5. Nissan (#7), Ssangyong (#8) and BMW (#9) also gain ground vs. Q1 whereas Chinese MG is down three spots but remains indie the Top 10. Model-wise, once again it’s the Hyundai Santa Fe that gets the favours of Iranian customers with just under 3.500 sales, and 2.000 more than any other imported nameplate in the country. The Renault Talisman remains in 2nd place even though zero units were imported over Q2, the Kia Cerato snaps the third step of the podium (+20) ahead of the Nissan Juke (+3), VW Passat (-2) and Hyundai Sonata (+5). The Toyota Hilux, Ssangyong Tivoli and VW Tiguan also manage a spot inside the 10 most imported nameplates in Iran over H1 2018.

Previous post: Iran Q1 2018: Production up 7%, imports down 51%, uncertain future

Previous year: Iran Full Year 2017: Peugeot #1, Saipa Pride threatened by Tina/Saiba

One year ago (1): Iran imports July 2017: Toyota C-HR breaks into Top 10

One year ago (2): Iran July 2017: Exclusive production figures available

Full Q1 2018 Top 15 local brands, Top 10 cars, pickups, imported brands and models below.

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Yemen January-May 2018: Toyota at 94.1% share, Land Cruiser tops market up 20.3%

The Toyota Land Cruiser holds over 40% of the Yemeni new car market so far in 2018.

* See the Top 8 All-brands and Top 40 All-models by clicking on teh title *

New light vehicle sales are up 20.3% year-on-year over the first five months of 2018 in Yemen to 2.075 registrations despite the extremely challenging internal situation the country is currently facing. It looks like all manufacturers bar Toyota have momentarily stopped distributing cars in Yemen though, with Nissan (-71%), Lexus (-54%) and Land Rover (-34%) all falling below 60 units and BMW ending reporting in the region. Toyota therefore tightens its stranglehold on the Yemeni sales charts from 77.9% share a year ago to 94.1% so far in 2018. The Toyota Land Cruiser soars 42% year-on-year to cement its leadership at a whopping 40.3% share, distancing the Toyota Land Cruiser Pickup (+62%), Hilux (+4%), Prado (+269%) and Fortuner (+250%). The Range Rover (-22%) is the best selling non-toyota at #6 followed by the Nissan Patrol (-73%) at #8 and the Lexus LX (-54%) at #9.

Yemen 2011-2017: All Make and All Models monthly data available. Contact us here for more details

Previous post: Yemen Full Year 2017: Land Cruiser holds 36% of market up 25.7%

One year ago: Yemen First Half 2017: Toyota holds 78.3% share in recovering market

Full January-May 2018 Top 8 All-brands and Top 40 All-models vs Full 2017 figures below.

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Syria January-May 2018: Kia and Sorento step ahead in market up 48%

The Kia Sorento is the best-selling vehicle in Syria so far in 2018.

* See the Top 5 All-brands and Top 14 All-models by clicking on the title *

In an extremely challenging context, only two carmakers remain truly active in Syria: Kia whose sales have more than doubled year-on-year (+108%) to take a 49.7% market share, overstepping sister brand Hyundai (+16%) at 48.9%. The two Koreans obliterate the Syrian market once again with a combined market share of 98.6% vs. 98.8% in 2017 and 98.5% in 2016. Nissan (-3%) holds just 1.3% of a market back up 48% to 4.753 registrations. Genesis makes its first appearance in the Syrian sales charts with one lonely G90 sold. Only 14 nameplates have found at least one buyer in Syria over the period, with the Kia Sorento (+278%) and Cerato (+871%) dislodging the Hyundai Tucson (-30%) from the top spot. The Hyundai Elantra (+42%) and HR Truck (+597%) round up the Top 5 with the Kia Frontier (+269%) and Hyundai Starex (+199%) also in great shape in a Top 10 that is getting more and more functional with a fair share of Light Commercial Vehicles. Nissan places the Sunny at #11 and the Patrol at #12.

Previous post: Syria Full Year 2017: Hyundai Tucson snaps lead in market down 11%

One year ago: Syria First Half 2017: Hyundai Tucson and Kia Sportage on top

Full January-May 2018 Top 5 All-brands and Top 14 All-models below.

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China June 2018 – New Energy: BYD back in charge in market up 92%

BYD Yuan

* See the Top 55 brands and Top 108 models by clicking on the title *

This is a new Chinese monthly update exclusive to BSCB, part of a China coverage we want as exhausting as possible. New Energy vehicles include electric, hydrogen, PHEV and hybrid models. Keep in mind we are referring to retail sales including imports here as these offer a much more complete picture of New Energy sales than wholesales alone. June New Energy models see their sales surge 92% year-on-year in June to 74.177 official units. Chinese carmaker BYD (for Build Your Dreams) reclaims the top spot it used to hold a few years back thanks to deliveries up 140% to over 14.000 units with Toyota (+44%) remaining at #2 with over 13.000 sales but remains #1 so far in 2018. Roewe (+245%) more than triples its sales to land on the third step of the podium, JMC (+93%) roughly follows the market at #5 while GAC Trumpchi (+3357%), Changan (+1243%), BMW (+467%), Lexus (+348%), Honda (+320%) and Zotye (+204%) also post extravagant gains.

Zotye E200

Over in the models ranking, the Toyota Corolla Hybrid (+37%) snaps the top spot both in June and YTD while last month’s leader, the BAIC BJEV EC-Series (-13%) dives to #14 in June. The BYD Qin (+288%) soars to 2nd place overall with the Toyota Levin Hybrid (+17%) rounding up the podium. In fact, if in May 13 of the 15 best-selling New Energy models were Chinese, this month this figure is 14 in the Top 20. The Zotye E200 (+306%) is up 7 spots on May to #4, the Roewe ei6 is ip 4 to #6 ad the JMC E200 (+309%) is down two to #6. BYD places the Song EV at #8, the e5 at #9 and the all-new Yuan EV at #19. Much hyped Chinese EV startups remain discreet: the Xpeng G3 (#58), Nio ES8 (#64) and Sinogold GM3 (#76) all sell less than 100 units in June in China.

Previous month: China May 2018 – New Energy: 13 Chinese models in Top 15

Full April 2018 Top 55 brands and Top 108 models below.

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China June 2018 Retail sales: SUV slump, Sedan recovery confirmed

The Nissan Sylphy is the #1 vehicle with Chinese end-consumers for the 2nd time running.

* See the Top 94 All China-made brands and Top 598 models by clicking on the title *

April 2017 – May 2018 monthly All-models China Retail data also available, Contact us here

With a little delay this month, after exploring China June Wholesales we can now detail for you China June Retail sales, a new exclusive monthly BSCB update. Retail sales are dealership sales to end-customers as opposed to Wholesales which are ex-factory sales to dealerships. These new Retail updates enable a second perspective, perhaps closer to the reality on the ground. The wholesales thunderclap in China in June is the sudden decline of SUV sales for the first time in 9 years. Yet if you have been following our recent retail updates this spectacular trend reversal was in fact predictable. Indeed, sedans had already monopolised the retail podium in April and May before doing so in the wholesales ranking in May and June, with SUVs enduring severe drops. This is easy to explain: dealership orders for the next month (=wholesales) are directly impacted by actual sales to customers (retail sales) for the ongoing month. Poor retail sales in May will trigger poor wholesales in June as dealers’ available stock is high and orders low. In other words, retail sales are a good indication of what will happen the following month in wholesales. Still with me? So the question becomes: will the wholesale SUV slump continue in July, and we can get a glimpse at the answer ahead of time by looking at June retail sales. Last note: this update only includes China-made vehicles, China imports are covered in a separate update.

Unheard of: Baojun retail sales are actually down in July at -14%.

Brand-wise, Volkswagen (-8%) remains the clear leader by still selling more than twice the amount of the #2 but drops frankly this month. Toyota soars 14% to score a third consecutive month in 2nd place and now threatens Geely (+18%) for the #2 spot YTD at 597.000 vs. 601.000. In contrast, Honda (-10%) falls heavily but is up one spot on May to #3. Nissan (+3%) is stuck in 5th place, with the remainder of the Top 10 entirely in negative as Buick (-28%) and Wuling (-23%) get hit the hardest. Back in the game with wholesales up 147% this month, Hyundai continues to struggle retail-wise at -9% but the most surprising evolution is delivered by Baojun which has seen its growth thaw from +8% in April, +1% in May and now tilts towards deep negative territory at -14%. The success of the 530 (9.259 sales), 360 (7.721) and 310W (+181%) now fails to offset steep declines by the 560 (-92%), 730 (-54%), 310 (-50%) and 510 (-22%).

Haval retail sales plunge 30% in June, with the H2s down 67%.

Another striking evolution is Haval, one of the heroes of the past decade in China but plateauing from early 2017 on and now in great difficulty, freefalling 30% in June after -28% in May and -42% in April. Here, the arrivals of the H4 (3.240) and M6 (2.161) and the timid uplift of the facelifted H9 (+3%) are far from compensating the painful drops of the brand’s best-seller, the H6 (-31%), as well as the H1 (-96%!), H8 (-73%), H2s (-67%), H2 (-58%), H7 (-57%) and H6 Coupe (-23%). Audi (-5%) holds onto the China-made premium spot for a mere 273 sales ahead of Mercedes (+12%) with BMW (+22%) the most impressive but over 5.000 units below. WEY (+645%), JMC (+70%), MG (+58%), Roewe (+34%), BYD (+33%) and Jinbei (+26%) post stunning gains but we have to wait until the 36th position and Volvo (+14%) to see a foreign brand lodging a double-digit gain in an unprecedented show of weakness by foreign manufacturers. And it gets worse as we go down the charts: if Chinese Hongqi (+381%), Qoros (+251%), Maxus (+150%), Foton (+147%), Zhi Dou (+34%) and Landwind (+15%) also score extravagant gains in the Top 60, only Jaguar (+44%) does so in the foreign aisle, then DS (+33%) at #71 and Isuzu (+28%) at #75…

The GAC Trumpchi is the most popular SUV with Chinese consumers: a first.

Over in the models ranking, the sudden change of guard atop the charts is confirmed: as it is also the case for June Wholesales, the Top 5 best-sellers are all sedans. The Nissan Sylphy (+7%) manages to stay on top for the second month running with just under 34.000 retail sales, only 18 above the Wholesales leader, the VW Lavida. The Toyota Corolla (+18%) is down one spot on May to #3, followed by the VW Sagitar (+13%) and VW Jetta (-12%). Despite a crippling 21% year-on-year decline, the GAC Trumpchi GS4 manages to snap the #1 SUV spot for the first time since we started following China Retail sales in April 2017, knocking the Haval H6 (-31%) from its pedestal just as the Baojun 510 (-22%) also loses significant ground. The VW Bora (+17%) and Buick Excelle Yinlang (-54%) complete a Retail Top 10 completely void of MPVs for the first time in at least 6 years: the Wuling Hongguang (-42%) is obliterated to #12 whereas it still ranked #2 overall in February and March – keeping in mind Hongguang S3 sales are separated here at 6.615 and #70 whereas they are included in the Hongguang wholesales total.

Hyundai Elantra Lingdong retail sales shoot up 171% in June.

Confirming the tide is definitely turning back towards sedans for the first time since 2009 – and for the foreseeable future as these retail sales will impact July and August wholesales, they monopolise the largest year-on-year gains in the remainder of the July Top 50, led by the Hyundai Elantra Lingdong (+171%), Toyota Camry (+67%), Geely Emgrand GL (+54%), BMW 5 Series L (+49%), Chevrolet Cavalier (+38%), Toyota Levin (+35%), Audi A4L (+26%) and Mercedes E-Class L (+23%). In contrast, only the Changan CS55 (+13322%), celebrating one year in market, and Toyota RAV4 (+23%) shine among SUVs. It’s the world upside down in China! The Baojun 530 (#48) is the most popular recent launch (<12 months), distancing the Geely Vision X3 (#54), BYD Song MAX (#60), Baojun 360 (#61) cracking the Top 100 for the first time, Lynk & Co 01 (#67), Wuling Hongguang S3 (#70) and Chana Oushang X70A (#103). Logically, all the July new entrants have already been covered in the Wholesales new model updates: the BMW X3 (#264), FAW Besturn Senya R9 (#267), Jeep Grand Commander (#307), Brilliance V7 (#529), Borgward BX6 (#539) and VW T-Roc (#564).

Previous month: China May 2018 Retail sales: BAIC BJEV EC-Series up to #7

Full June 2018 Top 94 All China-made brands and Top 598 models below.

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France July 2018: Two more days, artificial sales boost market up 18.9%

The DS 7 Crossback represents 50.6% of the brand’s sales in France in July.

* Now updated with the Top 40 brands, Top 270 models and Top 10 private sales *

Helped by two additional selling days vs. July 2017, the French new car market advances by a stunning 18.9% year-on-year this month to 175.396 registrations, registering its 7th consecutive year-on-year uplift, the 14th gain in the past 15 months and lifting the year-to-date volume up 6.3% to 1.363.546 units. That’s the 4th highest 7-month volume in history in France behind 1990 (1.430.556), 2001 (1.412.749) and 2011 (1.385.029). The spectacular July gain is the largest year-on-year improvement French new car sales have experienced since May 2016 (+22%), even if the growth adjusted for daily rates is a much lower but still robust +8.1%. All channels grow strongly this month but private sales trail the market slightly at +15.5% to return below the symbolic 50% mark at 49.7% vs. 51.1% a year ago. Short-term rental sales surge 30%, company sales including long term rentals are up 20.7% but the manufacturers’ favourite “fake” channel, demo and dealer sales, traditionally used to pad monthly deliveries, are sadly the most dynamic at +32.7% giving the month a definite artificial flavour.

The Peugeot 3008 (#3) has never been so close to the monthly pole position in France.

Let’s also not forget the impact the new Worldwide harmonised Light vehicles Test Procedure (WLTP, ) is having on registrations across Europe. This is particularly true in France where a “bonus/malus” system is in place, which removes or adds a sometimes very significant amount to the selling price of each car depending on its emissions, and the local press is stressing the fact that almost all vehicles sold in France are likely to see their price increase as a result of the WLTP implementation on September 1. This way, many fleet operators and dealerships themselves are purchasing cars now in order to avoid the likely steep increase in a couple of months and, in the case of dealerships, to be able to sell these cars as 0km without the WLTP added tax. So as much as I would have loved to declare the 18.9% gain in French sales is due to World Cup victory-induced euphoria, it is not really the case so far.

The Citroen C3 Aircross breaks its ranking record at home at #9…

For the fourth time this year (already a record) after January, February and April, Peugeot is the most popular carmaker at home despite gaining less ground than the market at +15.7% to 17.5% share vs. 17.9% YTD, distancing Renault (+14.8%) at 15.8% share and Citroen (+13.2%) at 10%, meaning the 3 main French manufacturers lose market share year-on-year in July. To be noted is the push towards health by Renault, reducing its demo sales by 13.3% in a market up 32.7% to just 6.1% of its deliveries, whereas Peugeot demo sales are up 20.9% to 11% share and Citroen’s are up 13.6% to 10%. One of the biggest events of the First Half 2018 in France was the historical 4th place of Dacia, ahead of Volkswagen for the first time. This unique situation isn’t anymore, with VW (+23.4%) now back above Dacia (+18.3%) both in July and YTD. Toyota (+31.7%) reclaims the 6th spot it holds YTD off Fiat (+61.5%) delivering the largest year-on-year gain in the Top 20 thanks to short-term rentals.

Jeep deliveries surge 82.7% year-on-year in July, propped up by demo sales.

Nissan (+48.1%) is also very impressive in 8th place (its highest since September 2017), however reading between the lines reveals the largest demo sales gain in market at a whopping +178% to an incredible 48% of its July sales. The 3 premium Germans all lose significant share year-on-year this month with Audi (-2.3%) reclaiming the lead both in July and YTD for only 30 sales, ahead of Mercedes (-3.7%) and BMW (+3.3%). BMW demo sales are up 81% to a huge 26% of its July deliveries, Mercedes also in the naughty corner with demos up 67% to an even more worrying 34.5% share in July. Some very dynamic brands at the tail end of the Top 25 also owe their spectacular growth to soaring demo sales: Jeep (+82.7%) is matched by demo sales up 82% to 27% of its July volume and DS (+49.6%) sees its demo sales up 50% to 11.9% of its total.

The Seat Arona smashes its ranking record to #33, by far the brand’s best-seller in France.

Seat (+42.6%), Skoda (+29.9%), Hyundai (+29%), Volvo (+27.1%) and Ford (+24%) also impressare healthier whereas Mini (-26.4%) freefalls. Also of note is a very interesting return to a healthy mix for Opel, already making news this month with a first H1 profit in 19 years under the control of PSA. Opel is a brand that has traditionally been burdened with a very high rate of artificial sales, but its weak July uplift (+12.2%) is actually due to short-term rentals freefalling down 26% to just 3% of its July sales vs. 22% YTD, demo sales down 11% to 18% share and – the most impressive and significant – private sales shooting up 36% to account for 64.6% of its July volume – well above the 49.7% market average – vs. 43.6% YTD. Finally, notice Alfa Romeo demo sales surging 171% to a whopping 48% of its July sales, Honda demos up 145% to 50%, with Mitsubishi (+204.4%), Jaguar (+79.1%), Subaru (+46%) and Porsche (+39.3%) also posting extravagant gains and newly relaunched Alpine crossing the 500 units sold since the start of the year.

The Peugeot 5008 breaks its ranking record at home to #12.

Model-wise, the Renault Clio (+10%) and Peugeot 208 (+8%) remain in control but both lose share vs. a year ago, as does the Peugeot 3008 (+14%) back in the third spot it holds YTD. This month the 3008 is only 755 sales off the French pole position: this is the closest the nameplate has ever been to being the outright best-selling nameplate in France (previous best: 926 exactly a year ago in July 2017). Naturally, the Peugeot 3008/5008 tandem is by far the most popular “unofficial” vehicle in France at 5.8% share vs. just 4.4% for the Clio, and this for the 5th time this year after January, February, April and May. The Dacia Sandero (+17%) and Peugeot 2008 (+18%) match the market and both edge past the Citroen C3 (+1%) already weak less than two years after launch, and the Renault Captur (+11%), handicapped by Renault’s policy of loading up on sales at the end of every quarter (March and June), drops five spots on last month to #8.

Ford Fiesta sales are up 156% year-on-year in July.

The Citroen C3 Aircross is up 4 ranks on June to hit a record #9, breaking into the French Top 10 for only the 2nd time after last January (#10) while the Renault Megane (+41%) uncharacteristically posts the largest gain in the Top 10 (WLTP?). The Peugeot 5008 (+39%) breaks its ranking (#12) and share (1.8%) records (previous bests #15 and 1.6% last November) just as the Toyota Yaris (+38%), VW Tiguan (+161%, hitting a new ranking record at #13) and Nissan Qashqai (+62%) all fit within the July Top 14 whereas foreign YTD leader the VW Polo (-24%) is down to #19. Adding the Dacia Duster at #15, there are 8 SUVs in the French Top 15 in July, a new all-time record.

First Top 100 finish for the XC40 which has become Volvo’s best-seller in France.

The Fiat Tipo (+161%), Ford Fiesta (+156%), Ecosport (+133%), Fiat Panda (+86%), 500X (+71%) and Citroen C4 Cactus (+58%) all shine further down the ladder. Among recent launches, the Citroen C4 Spacetourer – in fact a rebranded C4 Picasso – leaps up 78 ranks on June to #23, the DS 7 Crossback is up 6 spots to a new record #32, toppling the VW T-Roc at #33 (-5) while the Seat Arona breaks into the French Top 50 (and Top 40) for the first time at #37 (+18) and the Volvo XC40 scores its first Top 100 at #90 (+35). Looking at the private sales channel, the Dacia Sandero (+10.7%) remains comfortably at #1 ahead of the Peugeot 208 (+9.7%), Renault Clio (+4%) and Peugeot 2008 (+9.9%), replicating the YTD Top 4. The Dacia Duster (+23.1%) is down to #8 but remains #5 YTD, the Toyota Yaris (+39.3%) is the only “foreigner” (albeit made in France) in the July Top 10 but the YTD Top 10 is now 100% French as the Renault Twingo (+34.6%) knocks the VW Polo out.

Previous post (1): France 1-17 July 2018: Peugeot 3008 in top spot, 5008 in Top 10

Previous post (2): France H1 2018: Dacia above VW, Top 13 is 100% French for 1st time since 1979

Previous month: France June 2018: Renault, Dacia, Fiat lift market to 3rd largest volume in history

One year ago: France July 2017: Peugeot 3008 on the podium for the first time

Full July 2018 Top 40 brands, Top 270 models and Top 10 private sales below.

Japan July 2018: Lexus (+30.8%), Mitsubishi (+20.8%) lift market up

The Toyota Crown scores its first Top 10 in almost 3 years thanks to the new generation.

* See the Top 62 brands and Top 50 regular cars by clicking on the title *

New car sales in Japan rise 3.3% year-on-year in July to 441.534 registrations, the 2nd gain in the past 10 months alongside last April (+3.2%) and the largest uplift since last September (+3.9%), which means the year-to-date volume has every right to remain in negative territory at -1.1% to 3.174.012 units. Brand leader Toyota (+3.6%) roughly follows its home market at a towering 31.2% share vs. 28.5% so far in 2018 (-7.5%), but in the remainder of the podium both Honda (+9.9%) and Suzuki (+9.3%) post very dynamic gains ahead of Daihatsu (+0.8%) and Nissan (-0.3%) very shy on either side of the balance. Like last month, Mitsubishi (+20.8%) scores the largest uplift in the Top 10 (even the Top 12) whereas Subaru (-16.1%) and Mazda (-10.5%) are in grave difficulty.

The new generation hatch propels the Toyota Corolla up 52% in July at home.

With Isuzu (-5.1%) back up to #9, there are no foreigners in the Top 10 as Mercedes (-8%) and BMW (+4.6%) dominate at #11 and #12 respectively ahead of a very strong Volkswagen (+17.7%). Let’s also salute DS (+175%), Alfa Romeo (+160.9%), Land Rover (+66.5%), Porsche (+47.4%), Peugeot (+34.2%), Jeep (+31.4%), Lexus (+30.8%) among the fastest shooters. Over in the regular cars ranking, despite falling slightly the Toyota Aqua (-3%) celebrates a 4th consecutive pole position, a feat it hadn’t achieved since November 2015. However, 433 sales below in July the Nissan Note (-9%) remains in the YTD lead with a 6.800 unit-strong advantage over the Aqua. The Toyota Vitz (+60%) scores its highest ranking in a year (since June 2017) at #3 and the Toyota Corolla (+52%) its highest since last November at #4 thanks to the arrival of the new gen hatch. Reversely, the Toyota Prius (-19%) falls to its lowest ranking since November 2015 at #5.

The Suzuki Jimmy Sierra cracks the Japanese Top 50 as soon as its new gen launches.

The Nissan Serena (+38%) and Toyota Roomy (+29%) also shine but the best performer is the Toyota Crown (+233%) propelled up by its new generation to its first Top 10 finish in almost 3 years (since November 2015). Further down the ranking the relaunched Honda Civic (+9900%), Lexus NX300H (+556%), Subaru Levorg (+224%), Nissan Leaf (+75%), Subaru Forester (+50%) and Honda SteWGN (+49%) all make waves, but our personal favourite is the Suzuki Jimmy Sierra whose fourth generation has just launched after 20 years stuck in third, cracking the Top 50 for its first month at #50 vs. #96 over the Full Year 2017. There are 4 all-new nameplates in the July Top 50, led by the Suzuki Xbee at #30, Mazda CX-8 at #33, Mitsubishi Eclipse Cross at #46 and Toyota JPN Taxi at #49.

Previous post: Japan First Half 2018: Nissan Note set for historical annual win

Previous month: Japan June 2018: Lexus, Mazda defy market down 5%, Toyota down 16.3%

One year ago: Japan July 2017: Nissan Note reclaims top spot, Toyota C-HR down

Full July 2018 Top 50 brands and Top 50 regular cars below.

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Europe First Half 2018: Tiguan & Captur up, largest market this century

The VW Tiguan is the best-selling SUV in Europe for the first time.

* Now updated with the Top 10 groups, Top 55 brands and Top 405 models *

Today we can share with you preliminary data for the First Half of 2018 in Europe 27 countries ex-Russia and Turkey thanks to our partnership with JATO Dynamics. New car sales growth in the region continues to slow down: from +9.1% over H1 2016 to +4.2% in H1 2017 and +2.7% this year, however at 8.66 million units (up 230.000 on the same period last year), this is the best H1 result this century. Europe’s gain in entirely sustained by the SUV segment up a staggering 24% year-on-year so far in 2018 (and 30% in June) to 2.92 million units, lifting its market share from 27.9% in H1 2017 to 33.7% now. It’s high time the SUV segment gets split by size like passenger cars, so here are a few results: small SUVs total 1.08 million units, compact SUVs are at 1.24 million and midsize SUVs at 455.400 – all three being new volume record for the sub-segments. Large SUVs drop 9% to 141.000. In contrast, small cars are down 2% to 1.77m units for a 20.4% market share vs. 21.5% a year ago, compact cars are down 5% to 1.55m and 18% share vs. 19.5% and the worst performing segment, MPVs, sinks 23% to 532.600 or 6.2% share vs. 8.2% in 2017.

The Renault Captur returns into the Top 10 at #9.

Only 7 of the 27 countries composing the region are down vs. 2017, with the UK (-6.3%) the worst performer followed by Ireland (-4.5%), Denmark (-2.3%), Norway (-1.4%) and Italy (-1.2%). Reversely, three of the Top Five markets all up: Spain (+9.4%), France (+4.6%) and Germany (+2.9%). Romania (+33.4%), Hungary (+29%), Lithuania (+24.6%), Greece (+23.8%) and Croatia (+19.3%) are the most dynamic. Diesel sales continue to freefall at -17% to 3.2m units and 37% share, a drop of 9 percentage points vs. the 46% it commended over H1 2017 and its lowest market share since 2001. According to JATO Dynamics, diesel sales largest drops were in Norway (-32%), the UK (-30%), Slovenia (-28%), Finland (-20%) and Belgium (-20%). Petrol sales recuperate most of the diesel losses, up 17% to 4.85m units and 56% share. Meanwhile, Alternative Fuelled Vehicles (AFV) continue to gain momentum at +31% to 450.200 registrations of electric, hybrid and plug-in hybrid cars, securing a 5.4% share of the European market vs. 4.3% a year ago. AFVs account for 56% of the total market in Norway, 13% in Finland and 11% in Sweden.

The second generation pushes the Dacia Duster up 34.2% all across Europe.

Boosted by very strong results towards the end of the Semester, the VW Group vastly outperforms the European market with a 7.5% uplift to just under 2.1m units. Note the VW Group is now also the European leader in the SUV segment for the first time thanks to sales up a stunning 42% (while their passenger cars only edge up 3%), toppling Renault-Nissan thanks to the strength of the Tiguan and the arrivals of the VW T-Roc, Skoda Kodiaq, Karoq and Seat Arona. The best-selling brands (not groups) in the SUV segment are Peugeot (257.200 units), Volkswagen (222.600), Nissan (201.200), Renault (191.700) and Opel/Vauxhall (165.100). The PSA Group edges up 1.8% to 1.39m units, keeping its distance over Renault-Nissan up just 0.9% to 1.26m. FCA (2.5%) and Ford Motor (-2.6%), both in difficulty, mean the Top 5 groups are in the same order as last year. Hyundai-Kia (+8.4%), the Geely Group (+7%) and Toyota Motor (+5.2%) are the best performing groups in the remainder of the Top 10.

The Peugeot 3008 is up another 31.9% two years after launch.

In the brands ranking, Volkswagen surges 9.1% to just under 980.000 units, its highest European H1 score in 20 years. According to JATO Dynamics, Volkswagen is the most popular marque in 11 out of 27 European markets: Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Denmark, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Slovenia and Switzerland. Its highest market share is logically in Germany at 19.7%, followed by Austria (18.2%), Slovenia (16.8%), Sweden (15.2%) and Latvia (14.5%). Portugal (6.0%) and France (6.1%) give VW its lowest market shares. Renault edges up 0.1% in remain in 2nd place overall ahead of Ford (-2.6%) meaning the European podium is unchanged on H1 and FY 2017. Stangely, only two other carmakers are in positive inside the Top 10: Peugeot soars 8.5% to step up to #4, bypassing fellow PSA member Opel (-6.4%) and Skoda gains 8.3% to return among Europe’s ten favourite brands, dislodging Toyota (+4.9%).

The VW Golf is headed towards an 11th consecutive year at #1 in Europe.

Mercedes (-2.8%), Audi (-1.8%) and BMW (-1.2%) all lose ground but the premium order is intact. Finally Fiat (-9.6%) posts the largest decline, handicapped by record low sales at home in Italy. If the top sellers are on average weak, the rest of the Top 25 is filled with great-performing brands. The most dynamic are Chinese MG (+114.9%) operating almost solely in the UK and boosted by the new ZS crossover, as well as Jeep, up a stunning 67.1% year-on-year to a record 89.500 units (vs. just 15.800 four years ago in 2014) thanks to the arrival of the Compass, now outselling the Renegade to become Jeep’s best-seller in Europe. Seat (+18.8%), Dacia (+16.3%), Mitsubishi (+12.3%), Kia (+9.7%), Suzuki (+7.3%), Hyundai (+7.2%) and Volvo (+7.1%) also post very strong results, while among smaller brands Dodge (+197.2%), Bugatti (+150%), DR Motor (+85.7%), Lamborghini (+66.5%), Mahindra (+34.1%), Tesla (+10.2%) and Subaru (+10%) shine, while Alpine (#46) revives.

The Renault Clio remains the 2nd best-selling vehicle in Europe.

Over in the models ranking, the VW Golf (+8.1%) benefits from last year’s facelift to stay well ahead of the competition just under 255.000 sales. Although its diesel sales drop 26%, they are offset by petrol sales up 29% and alternative fuel variants now representing 6% of its H1 volume. The Renault Clio (+1%), VW Polo (-4.8%) down despite a new generation and Ford Fiesta (+0.6%) complete a Top 4 unchanged on H1 and FY2017. In 5th place, the VW Tiguan soars 14.7% (the largest gain in the Top 14), outpacing the Nissan Qashqai (-1.8%) to become Europe’s best-selling SUV for the first time. This result is achieved thanks to the arrival of the All Space 7-seater variant representing 11.5% of its H1 sales. Note that by the same logic, adding sales of the Peugeot 3008 (5-seater) and 5008 (7-seater) leads to a higher volume than the Tiguan. The Peugeot 208 (+0.2%) and Skoda Octavia (+2.6%) benefit from the freefall of the Opel Corsa (-14.9%) and Astra (-33.3%) to advance to #7 and #8 respectively, while the Renault Captur (+7.5%) brilliantly breaks into the Top 10 at #9 – if held until the end of the year, this would be the Captur’s second annual Top 10 ranking after 2016 (#10).

The Nissan Leaf is the new best-selling EV in Europe.

The largest progression in the Top 25 is delivered by the Dacia Duster (+34.2%) boosted by the second generation which Renault says is the most successful model launch for the Group since the original Twingo of 1992! The Peugeot 3008 (+31.9%) continues to stun despite its launch now being two years ago. The Toyota Yaris (+13.3%), Ford Kuga (+10.3%) and Dacia Sandero (+9,3%) also push strong, the latter ending H1 just 563 sales off a historical Top 10 ranking. Looking at AFV sales by model, Toyota completely dominates the hybrid charts with the Yaris, C-HR, Auris and RAV4 in the lead above the Kia Niro, the Nissan Leaf edges past the Renault Zoe to become the best-selling EV on the continent thanks to the new model particularly successful in Norway while the VW Golf, BMW i3 and Tesla Model S complete the Top 5. The Mitsubishi Outlander holds onto the top spot of plug-in hybrid sales ahead of the VW Passat, Volvo XC60, VW Golf and BMW 5 Series.

The Lamborghini Urus has landed in Europe.

Further down the overall ranking, the Peugeot 5008 (+232.6%), Skoda Kodiaq (+97.2%), Ford Ecosport (+57.2%), Opel Insignia (+37.9%), Mazda CX-5 (+33.9%), Mercedes GLC (+28.8%), Audi Q5 (+25.1%), Renault Twingo (+14.5%), BMW 5 Series (+14.4%) and Toyota C-HR (+13.7%) also impress. Launched just over a year ago, the Opel Crossland X (#53), Jeep Compass (#68) and Opel Grandland X (#77) make themselves noticed but the most successful recent launch in Europe (<12 months) is the VW T-Roc at #33 overall with 70.000 sales, eclipsing the Citroen C3 Aircross (#48), Seat Arona (#61), Skoda Karoq (#70), Kia Stonic (#96) and Hyundai Kona (#101). Notice as the arrival of the Volvo XC40 (#147) European Car of the Year 2018, Jaguar E-Pace (#150), DS 7 Crossback (#197), Alpine A110 (#294), DR Motor DR4 (#312) and Lamborghini Urus (#345).

Previous post: Europe May 2018: Discover the Top 364 models and Top 54 brands

Previous month: Europe May 2018: SUVs soar 24.2%, Volkswagen, Jeep and Dacia strong

One year ago: Europe First Half 2017: Best result in a decade but growth slows to 4.2%

Full H1 2018 Top 10 groups, Top 55 brands and Top 405 models vs. Full H1 2017 figures below.

Full H1 2018 Top 5 hybrid, EV and PHEV models below.

Europe June 2018: Volkswagen, BMW lift market up 4.8%

The VW T-Roc breaks into the European Top 25 for the first time, the Golf drops 2.5%.

* See the Top 10 best-selling groups, Top 55 brands and Top 365 models by clicking on the title *

There was no June preliminary figures update by our partner JATO Dynamics at the end of July, so we jump straight to the complete groups, brands and models rankings for the month. The final July registrations figure for Europe 27 markets ex-Russia and Turkey is up 4.8% to 1.603.290 units. The Volkswagen Group vastly outpaces the European market with a 12.9% surge to just under 400.000 sales this month with the rest of the podium filled by French carmakers that however can’t match the market growth: the PSA Group is up 3.2% to remain in 2nd place at 256.000 units while Renault-Nissan is up 2.3% to just under 253.000 including Mitsubishi and Lada deliveries. But the most impressive this month is the BMW Group (+9%), up 4 spots on May to #4 and almost 112.000 units, an almost 10.000 unit-margin above FCA (-2.8%). Hyundai-Kia (+8.9%) also post a strong uplift, distancing Ford Motor (-4.5%) and Daimler AG (-4.4%) while Toyota Motor (+8.6%) and Geely Group (+29%) both soar in the tail end of the Top 10.

The X1 (+72.4%) helps BMW European sales rise 11.6% in June.

Brand-wise, Volkswagen (+16.5%) does even better than its namesake Group to solidly cement its European domination, leaving in its wake Renault (+1.2%) and Peugeot (+6.9%) up one spot. Ford (-4.5%) and Opel (-3.9%), both in difficulty, round up the Top 5 with BMW (+11.6%) the only other Top 10 marque to score a double-digit gain this month. Toyota (+8.6%), Skoda (+7.9%), Citroen (+6.9%) and Audi (+6.5%) also outpace the market near the top but it’s Volvo (+28.8%), Dacia (+19.3%), Seat (+18.3%) and Kia (+12.2%) that impress the most in the Top 20. Further down, MG (+177.4%), Jeep (+70.8%), Tesla (+35.9%), Subaru (+35.6%), DS (+27.2%), Ferrari (+27.1%), Jaguar (+26.8%), Mitsubishi (+22.9%), Lada (+15.4%), Smart (+15.3%) and Porsche (+13.4%) make themselves noticed.

The Tiguan (+43.2%) makes it 3 VWs in the Top 4 for only the 4th time in history.

Over in the models ranking, the VW Golf (-2.5%) stays on top but records its second consecutive decline after posting 7 months of double-digit gains in the previous 8. Worse, its gap over the #2, the Renault Clio (+10.2%), has thawed to just 4.000 units, that’s the smallest level since the Golf was trumped by the Ford Fiesta for the European top spot in March 2017. The VW Polo (+10%) and most strikingly the Tiguan (+43.2%) make it three VWs in the Top 4 for the second consecutive month and only the fourth time in history after August 2015 (Golf, Polo, Passat) and April 2017 (Golf, Polo, Tiguan). Note that Tiguan sales include the Allspace 7-seater variant, and as is the case for H1 (see our H1 report), adding sales of the Peugeot 3008 and 5008 leads to a higher volume, labelling the Peugeot tandem as the unofficial #1 SUV in Europe. As for the Renault Captur (+11.2%), it breaks into the European Top 5 for only the third time ever after June 2017 (#5) and December 2017 (#3), while the Dacia Sandero (+3.8%) brilliantly manages a third consecutive month inside the Top 10 at #8.

The Dacia Duster shoots up 48.7% year-on-year across Europe in July.

The Peugeot 208 (-5.4%), now that German rental deals are off, is knocked out of the Top 10 for the first time in almost 3 years (since July 2015). The Dacia Duster (+48.7%), Peugeot 3008 (+13.5%) and Toyota Yaris (+12%) post the only other double-digit gains in the Top 20. Further down, the Opel Crossland X (+132.2%), Ford Ecosport (+102.7%), BMW X1 (+72.4%), BMW X3 (+55.8%), Kia Picanto (+36.4%), VW Transporter (+34.7%) and Mercedes GLC (+31.6%) shine.  Among recent launches, the VW T-Roc (#24) breaks into the European Top 25 for the first time, the Citroen C3 Aircross (#41) improves its best ranking by two spots, the Seat Arona (#49) scores its first ever Top 50 finish, with the Skoda Karoq (#59), BMW X2 (#117), Alpine A110 (#272) and Jaguar i-Pace (#284) also posting new ranking records.

Previous post (1): Europe Q1 2018: A rare look at the Light Commercial Vehicle market

Previous post (2): Europe First Half 2018: Tiguan and Captur up, largest market this century

One year ago: Europe June 2017: First Top 5 ranking for the Renault Captur

Full June 2018 Top 10 groups, Top 55 brands and Top 365 models below.

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Philippines First Half 2018: Vios back on top, first market fall in 9 years

The Toyota Vios reclaims leadership of the Filipino market in 2018.

* See the Top 25 best-selling brands and Top 10 models by clicking on the title *

Putting an abrupt end to 8 consecutive years of annual records, New vehicle sales in the Philippines are down a tough 12% year-on-year over the First Half of 2018 at 191.485 registrations, according to distributor groups AVID (Association of Vehicle Importers and Distributors), CAMPI (Chamber of Automotive Manufacturers of the Philippines) and TMA (Truck Manufacturers Association). There are a few reasons behind this sudden decline. A new Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion Law (TRAIN) signed in late 2017 has reduced personal income taxes but levied additional taxes on selected vehicles, which significantly and adversely affected auto prices. The result in market was immediate, even if TRAIN lowered levies on hybrid vehicles and exempted pickups, trucks and electric vehicles, which account for a small percentage of sales in the country.

The Mitsubishi Montero Sport is up 4 spots to #2 overall and #1 SUV.

Toyota continues to dominate the Filipino market head and shoulders, seeing its share only slightly decrease from 38.5% in FY2017 to 38% so far this year. Mitsubishi is the only other carmaker managing a double-digit market share in the Philippines, soaring from 15% to 17.5% on the back of a very successful introduction of the all-new Xpander, outselling the all-new Toyota Rush just as the Mitsubishi Adventure is discontinued after 21 years of loyal services to the local population. Hyundai (8.3%) also improves in third place while Nissan steps up 3 spots on FY2017 to land in 4th position, overtaking Ford and Honda while Suzuki passes Isuzu down 2 to #8. Only 64 sales below Chevrolet (#9), Foton (1.2%) breaks into the Filipino Top 10 over the period, becoming the very first Chinese carmaker to manage this feat here. Volkswagen (#15) has started the import of China-made models such as the Lamando, Tiguan and Santana while Mercedes now outsells BMW as the #1 premium brand in the country.

Foton breaks into the Top 10 brands for the first time in the Philippines.

Over in the models ranking, the Toyota Vios reclaims the lead it held for 9 consecutive years before the Fortuner snapped its first victory last year. The Mitsubishi Montero Sport rallies back up four spots to an outstanding (and world-best) 2nd place overall, reclaiming the title of #1 SUV in the Philippines. The Toyota Wigo, also up four ranks, rounds up the podium ahead of the Toyota Fortuner (-3) and the Mitsubishi L300 up 6 spots to #5. The Hyundai Accent gains one rank to #7 whereas the Toyota Innova (-5), Mitsubishi Mirage (-4) and Toyota Hiace (-2) all slide down the ranking. Finally, notice the Nissan Navara more than doubling its market share vs. FY2017 from 1.6% to 3.5% to snag the #1 pickup title off the Toyota Hilux.

Previous post: Philippines Full Year 2018: First win for Toyota Fortuner, 8th record year

Full Q1 2018 Top 8 brands, H1 2018 Top 25 brands and Top 10 models below.

(more…)

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